Best Timberwolves vs. Thunder Player Props Today: Game 1 Expert Picks

Can the Thunder's dominance carry over to the Western Conference Finals, and if so, who will help them beat the Timberwovles in Game 1?
Best Timberwolves vs. Thunder Player Props: Today's Game 1 Expert Picks, May 20
Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Alex Caruso reacts after a call in the second round of the 2025 NBA Playoffs. Photo by Isaiah J. Downing via Imagn Images.

An energized Oklahoma City Thunder host the well-rested Minnesota Timberwolves today in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. As part of our NBA picks, my Timberwolves vs. Thunder player props highlight key role players like Alex Caruso and Rudy Gobert.

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is slated for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Our best sports betting sites list the Thunder as 6.5-point betting favorites at home. Read on for our expert picks and a plus-money bonus bet on Jalen Williams at the end.

â›šī¸ Best Timberwolves vs. Thunder player props

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Rudy Gobert Under 9.5 points (-120 via BetMGM) â­â­â­â­
✅ Alex Caruso Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (+116 via FanDuel) â­â­â­â­

đŸ”Ĩ Rudy Gobert Under 9.5 points â­â­â­â­

Gobert has been a big talking point in these playoffs due to his stellar closeout games against both Golden State and Los Angeles. He scored 17 and 27 points in those games, respectively, but he's still gone Under 10 points at an 80% clip this postseason.

Oklahoma City will play a two-big lineup at times, which is very different from the small-ball approaches taken by the Lakers and Clippers. The Thunder have elite-level rim protectors across the board, so don't expect Gobert to get much action in the scoring department.

✅ Best odds: -120 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $8.33 profit)

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đŸ”Ĩ Alex Caruso Over 1.5 made 3-pointers â­â­â­â­

Caruso has been Mr. Consistent from beyond the arc this postseason, cashing this prop for us in the past. He went Over 1.5 made 3-pointers in five of seven games in the last series, so it's surprising to see our best sports betting apps still offering the play at plus-money.

✅ Best odds: +116 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $11.60 profit)

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👀 Bonus bet: Jalen Williams to record a double-double â­â­

Williams has just three double-doubles this season, but he's gotten close numerous times in the playoffs and against the Timberwolves. J-Dub's assist numbers are up in the postseason, as he averages 5.7 per game, and even touched double-digits in Game 6.

Minnesota's biggest flaw is its inability to take care of the basketball. The Thunder could capitalize on these mistakes, turning turnovers into transition points, assisted by anyone on the floor. As such, we believe Williams is worth a flyer at odds that profit $130 from a winning $10 wager at our best sportsbooks.

✅ Best odds: +1300 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $130 profit)  

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📊 Game 1 betting odds analysis

As of Tuesday morning, we've seen a little line movement. 

Early action has seen a majority of the wagers (63%) on the visitors covering the spread, but it hasn't shifted the 7.5-point opening line. Most of our best sportsbooks continue to offer the standard -110 vig on either side.

The Over is seen a smaller majority of the bets (68%), and the market has reacted accordingly. The total opened at 214.5, but has been bet up 216 around the industry. You can still price hunt a 215.5 or 216.5 if you have a particular lean on the total despite the movement.

đŸ’ĩ Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on the NBA playoffs? Check out the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's games:

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

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