Liberty vs. Fever Predictions, Odds & WNBA Best Bet Today

With Caitlin Clark returning for the Fever, can they put an end to the Liberty's undefeated season?
Liberty vs. Fever Odds, Predictions & Best Bet for WNBA
Pictured: Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark attempts a 3-pointer against New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu. Photo by Grace Smith / IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.

Caitlin Clark will return to the lineup today as the Indiana Fever host the WNBA championship odds favorite New York Liberty at 3 p.m. ET (ABC) from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. While Clarkโ€™s comeback is a major boost for Indiana, our Liberty vs. Fever prediction backs New York to stay perfect, as we look at the Liberty's chances of going undefeated.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Liberty vs. Fever expert picks & predictions

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โœ… Moneyline pick: Liberty (-196 via Caesars) โญโญโญ
โœ… Against the spread pick: Liberty -4.5 (-110 via
bet365) โญโญโญโญ
โœ… Over/Under pick: Over 171 (-110 via
FanDuel) โญโญโญ

๐Ÿค” Is Caitlin Clark playing vs. Liberty?

Yes! Caitlin Clark (quadriceps) will return to the Fever lineup today against the Liberty according to the team:

๐Ÿ†š Who will win Liberty vs. Fever?

New York is the best team in the Eastern Conference by a mile, and it's hard to argue that even the West-leading Minnesota Lynx are on the same level as the Liberty.

Breanna Stewart and Co. have the best average point differential in the W (plus-19), and the Fever just don't have the depth to keep up with Sandy Brondello's squad. Even if Clark hits the floor running in her return, Indiana is in trouble against a New York team that's beginning to look like one of the best teams in WNBA history.

โœ… Moneyline pick: Liberty will win (-285 via DraftKings)

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๐Ÿ’ฐ Liberty vs. Fever prediction & WNBA best bet

Liberty vs. Fever Odds, Predictions & Best Bet for WNBA.
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu makes a 3-pointer against the Washington Mystics. Photo by Geoff Burke via Imagn Images.

Liberty -4.5 โญโญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -110 via bet365 ($10 pays $9.09)

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Without Clark, Indiana's offense has been uninspiring and has now slid out of the top five in both points per game (81.6) and offensive rating (104.2). So even with Clark back on the court, can she really elevate this Fever team enough against the WNBA's best defense after missing three weeks?

I don't doubt that the former No. 1 pick will put up All-Star level numbers if she's playing her usual 35-plus minutes, but I just don't think that will be enough against the Liberty. New York gives up the fewest points per game in the W (71.4), ranks No. 1 in defensive rating (90.2), and allows the lowest field-goal percentage in the league (37.2%).

Stewart (0.9), Natasha Cloud (0.8), Sabrina Ionescu (0.8), and Jonquel Jones (0.7) are all in the top six in defensive win shares and defensive rating. They also have New York sitting No. 1 in points per game (90.4), offensive rating (114.2), field-goal percentage (47.8%), and made 3-pointers per game (11.6).

This is a historically dominant team, and I'd bet New York to cover by as many as eight points, even with Clark on the court.

๐Ÿ€ Liberty vs. Fever odds today

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