Preakness Stakes AI Predictions 2025: We Asked ChatGPT To Predict Today's Preakness Winner

We have our Preakness Stakes AI predictions for the winner and full finish order to assist your exacta, trifecta, and superfecta bets ahead of Saturday's 150th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course (7:01 p.m. ET post time on NBC).

And why should you care? Well, we used these tools to correctly predict the Kentucky Derby earlier this month. We made a nice profit two weeks ago when ChatGPT correctly picked Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty (7-1) to win outright.

We re-trained OpenAI's popular chatbot using the "Deep Research" function to study massive amounts of data, statistical trends, and the latest Preakness Stakes odds & post positions. While you should consider these AI-generated Preakness Stakes predictions as supplementary data, I did bet all of these picks myself at FanDuel Racing.

Here's what AI says will happen this weekend:

🏆 AI pick to win Preakness Stakes 2025

🏇 River Thames (No. 6)

River Thames (9-2) fits the profile of so many recent winners. The Todd Pletcher-trained colt skipped the Kentucky Derby to target this race, comes in fresh off six weeks’ rest, and has already held his own against the best of his class - narrowly losing to Derby winner Sovereignty and Blue Grass champ Burnham Square.

The race also sets up perfectly for his style as a tactical stalker who should sit just off the pace and get a clean, ground-saving trip from Post 6. With multiple front-runners expected to duel early, River Thames should get first run on the closers and launch his bid around the far turn.

Irad Ortiz Jr., one of the best in the business, takes the reins for a barn still seeking its first Preakness win - and this might be the colt to finally get it done.

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💰 Best Preakness Stakes long shot

🏇 Gosger (No. 9)

Gosger (20-1) fits the "new shooter" profile that has dominated this race recently - lightly raced, skipped the Derby, and enters off a stakes win in the Lexington. His stalking style sets up well behind the expected early speed, and with Luis Saez aboard, he should work out a clean outside trip.

Gosger has a classic pedigree (Nyquist × Tapit), solid foundation, and room to improve in just his fourth career start. If the pace heats up and a few favorites falter, he has the tools to crash the trifecta - and possibly even shock the field.

📊 AI-simulated Preakness Stakes finish order: Win, place, show predictions

Here’s how ChatGPT projects the full nine-horse field to finish in the 2025 Preakness Stakes, along with the morning-line Preakness Stakes odds from FanDuel Racing for each horse.

🏇 2025 Preakness Stakes horses & field analysis

Here is ChatGPT's field analysis of the nine horses set to contest the 150th Preakness Stakes on Saturday, listed by post position order:

1. Goal Oriented (6-1)

As a newcomer leaping into Grade 1 company, Goal Oriented is a bit of an X-factor. He has upside (only 2 starts, could improve further) and the inside speed to work out a favorable trip. He also clearly likes a wet track, having already won on a sloppy surface. If the rains come, that could move him up even more.

Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert is taking a familiar shot here – in 2018, Baffert won the Preakness with Justify on two weeks rest; in 2023, he won with a lightly raced horse off a layoff (National Treasure). Goal Oriented will be the “rabbit” everyone has eyes on early, and the key will be whether he can carry his speed against this class of competition. Expect him to be one of the pace setters and a major player if he avoids a speed burnout.

2. Journalism (8-5)

Journalism is the horse to beat on paper. He brings the strongest resume, the top Beyer/Speed figures, and he just ran a very creditable Derby despite not winning. Observers noted he galloped out well past the Derby finish, indicating he had something left – a positive sign coming into this race. With Sovereignty absent, he stands out as the clear class among this group.

The key question will be how he handles the short rest (some Derby horses “bounce” in Preakness after a big effort). McCarthy has been monitoring him closely, and thus far all reports say Journalism has kept his energy and appetite. The colt’s tactical speed and inside draw should allow Rispoli to avoid any wide, troublesome trip – he can track the speed horses and get first run on the deep closers. If the pace is moderate, Journalism might even sit closer or in a pocket and then angle out. In essence, he’ll try to replicate his Derby trip minus the troubled start.

3. American Promise (15-1)

American Promise is a long shot with upset potential, much in the mold of trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ recent Preakness stunners. As Lukas himself quipped, if this horse wins, it would tie him with Baffert at eight Preakness victories each – certainly a motivating factor for the old master.

What scenario gives American Promise a shot? Likely a meltdown up front and a return to his best form. His connections clearly feel his Derby run is a throw-out. If he can rebound to the form that saw him win a stakes at nine furlongs, he could clunk up for a piece. One plus: he is one of only three horses in the field with a win beyond 1 1/16 miles, so he’s shown he can handle a route.

4. Heart of Honor (12-1)

Heart of Honor is a wild card. It’s rare to see an international shipper in the Preakness, and he could add value to exotics. On one hand, his strong finishing style and proven stamina make him an attractive “sleeper” pick to hit the board – especially if the pace is hot and the leaders come back. He’s one of the few in the field to have run (and run well) at 1 3/16 miles already, which is a big plus.

On the other hand, the quality of competition he’s faced is a question mark – the fact that the UAE Derby winner failed to fire in the Kentucky Derby suggests Heart of Honor will be facing much tougher horses here. There's also the matter of transitioning to U.S. racing style. A sloppy track is a bit of an unknown for him, though being by Honor A. P. (whose sireline often handles off going) might help.

5. Pay Billy (20-1)

Pay Billy enters as a sentimental long shot and a “form” horse regionally, but he does face a steep class test. On the positive side, he’s in career-best form and knows how to win – you can’t say that about every horse in the race. He’s also been remarkably consistent and tactically versatile. Being the local horse, he won’t have to travel far and should be acclimated.

Trainer Michael Gorham has surely had the Preakness circled since the Tesio win and will have him cranked up. If the Preakness were run at Laurel against similar company, he’d be a heavy favorite; but against this Grade 1 field, he’s 20-1 on the morning line. To contend, he will have to outrun his speed figures and hope that his gritty, improving nature carries him further than numbers suggest.

6. River Thames (9-2)

River Thames profiles as a major contender and one of the top betting choices. Historically, skipping the Derby has been a winning formula recently, and River Thames epitomizes the “fresh horse” with strong prep credentials. He’s also drawn very well in Post 6, which should allow his ideal trip. The presence of Irad Ortiz Jr. is a huge plus – Irad is renowned for his well-timed rides and aggressiveness when needed.

Both Ortiz and trainer Todd Pletcher are notably seeking their first Preakness win – a somewhat surprising stat – and they have a live chance to get it here. This horse has the look of one who could be sitting on a breakthrough race after those close losses. If he steps forward just a bit off his Blue Grass performance, he is absolutely capable of winning.

7. Sandman (4-1)

Sandman is a leading contender despite his Derby flop, and the morning line reflects that. Many handicappers will forgive the Derby because of the sloppy track and the fact that closers like him were at a disadvantage when the pace held better than expected at Churchill Downs.

The keys for Sandman will be pace and trip. If the early fractions are fast and contested, and Velazquez navigates a clear path for the stretch run, Sandman will be one of the horses absolutely flying late. In a scenario where Journalism or others tire after putting away the speed, Sandman could be the one to pick up the pieces.

8. Clever Again (5-1)

Clever Again has the profile of a potential star – but this Preakness will be his make-or-break coming-out party. Many analysts see him as an intriguing win candidate at an attractive price if he floats up near 10-1. For those in the know, Clever Again is a bit of a wise-guy horse: lightly raced but with figures and pedigree that signal a possible upset.

Given the unknowns, he’s a high-risk, high-reward pick. Don’t be surprised if he runs huge and even wins – he has the profile of a breakout horse. Conversely, a misstep could see him off the board. All told, the talent is there; now we get to find out if Clever Again is indeed as clever (and classy) as his connections think.

9. Gosger (20-1)

Gosger is a live long shot with a lot of upside – the kind of horse that could crash the exotics and even has an outside win chance if things break perfectly. At 20-1 on the morning line, he’ll be one of the bigger prices. Yet handicappers won’t ignore that he fits several positive trends: he’s a fresh horse who skipped the Derby, he’s coming off a stakes win (momentum), and he has a pedigree for the task.

Six of the last eight Preakness winners skipped the Derby, and Gosger fits the bill. Additionally, 12 of the last 20 Preakness winners entered off a defeat – Gosger enters off a victory, but an angle in his favor is that 25 of the last 30 Preakness winners had previously won a graded stakes. Gosger checks that box with his G3 Lexington win. He’s definitely a dark horse to keep in mind, with talent that may be just blooming at the right moment.

🤖 How we generated our Preakness Stakes AI predictions

These Preakness Stakes AI predictions were generated using OpenAI’s most advanced large language model version of ChatGPT, which analyzes vast amounts of data to simulate realistic outcomes and identify betting value.

While not a traditional handicapping algorithm, the model draws from a wide range of publicly available information, including:

• Historical Preakness trends, including pace profiles, post position success, and winning running styles
• Finishing records and performance trajectories for each horse, especially in major prep races like the Arkansas Derby, Blue Grass Stakes, and Lexington Stakes
• Speed figures and pace dynamics from sources like Equibase and past race charts
• Jockey and trainer records, including past Preakness wins and Triple Crown experience
• Post draw implications and tactical advantages at Pimlico’s unique 1 3/16-mile layout
• Wet vs. fast track biases, especially how horses perform on slop or sealed dirt
• Strategic angles such as "new shooters" vs. Kentucky Derby returners, rest advantage, and trip potential

By analyzing these inputs through pattern recognition and probabilistic modeling, the AI generates a projected finishing order and flags horses that may offer betting value - whether it's the favorite or an overlooked long shot.

🌩️ Preakness Stakes weather

Today's weather at Pimlico Race Course looks generally favorable, despite fears that rain could impact things earlier in the week. Yesterday's storms brought about an inch of rain to the track.

Temperatures range from 70-88 F today in Baltimore, with a brief period of thunderstorms in the mid-afternoon. Unlike the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes on Friday, it looks like today's races shouldn't face delays.

🔮 Preakness Stakes expert picks

• Preakness Stakes odds and post position
• Preakness Stakes AI predictions
• Preakness Stakes long shots

📺 How to watch the 2025 Preakness Stakes

📅 Date: Saturday, May 17
🕕 Post time: 7:01 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Pimlico Race Course (Baltimore)
📺 How to watch: NBC | 🛜 Streaming: Peacock

💵 Best Preakness Stakes betting sites

Want to bet on the Preakness Stakes? Here are the best horse racing betting sites and the best sportsbook promos for Saturday's race:

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